|
The Zulu Search
The Search
In ‘The Zulu Principle,’ Jim Slater proposed the LOW PEG METHOD
of searching for growth shares. This is his most favoured investment approach,
and was explored further in his best selling book ‘Beyond The Zulu Principle’.
That's why we've called this one ‘The Zulu Search.’
Classically, Slater looks for companies with low PERs, low PEGs, good cash
flow, positive relative strength, and with no substantial director selling.
In everyday language this means that companies should be ideally on a low multiple;
that an investor should be paying a low price for future earnings growth; that
earnings should be converted into cash eliminating creative accounting; and
finally that the share should be ‘acting well in the market’ by
rising faster than the market as a whole. It would be a bonus if directors were
buying their own shares.
Company REFS shows PEGs very clearly. To qualify for a PEG in REFS, a company
has to have four years of earnings per share (EPS) growth. (NB: five years for
highly cyclical companies, such as house builders).
Corresponding search values - used at
the Jim Slater REFS seminar on the 23rd April 2002 - consistent
with the above methodology are as follows:
- PEG less than 0.75
- PER less than 10
- EPS growth greater than 10%
- One year relative strength greater than zero
- Dividend yield greater than one.
- Cash flow per share/EPS greater than one
How To Run The Zulu Search
You can run this search by following these simple steps:
(If you are familiar with how to run a search, then do skip to the table shown
between steps 9 and 10, which clearly shows you which values to enter.)
- Logon to Refsonline.
- Click on ‘Tables’ on the pull down menu at
top of screen, and select the ‘Setup’ option.
A dialog box will appear, entitled ‘Table Creation.’
- Click on the ‘New’ button option at bottom
right hand of this dialog box. Another small dialog box
will appear, entitled ‘New Table Name.’
- Type in a name for your table in the blank space provided:
Zulu Search.
- The dialog box will now contain a new, mostly blank table.
You will see that ‘Zulu Search’ is correctly
entered next to ‘Table Name’ at the top of the
dialog box. You can ignore the two fields beneath this,
entitled ‘View to Use’ and ‘Order by.’
In the table area itself, you can also leave the ‘Condition’
field as it is.
- In first row of table, underneath the second column –entitled
‘Field Name’ - click on the empty box below
it, and then scroll down the options listed, using the arrow
to the left of that box. Select the correct ‘Field
name’: PEG
- Move to the third column, entitled ‘Logic,’
and again click on the empty box below it. Scroll down the
options listed using the arrow to the left of that box,
and select the ‘less than’ symbol: <
- Moving now to the fourth column, entitled ‘Value,’
click on the empty box below it, and type in the correct
value in this case: 0.75
- Next, repeat this process in the empty row below the one
that you have just entered values for, under each column
heading, in order to enter in the other search values that
Jim Slater outlines above, as shown in table below:
- Field name Logic Value
PEG < 0.75
PER < 10
EPS Gth Rate % > 10
Ref Str 1 Yr % > 0
Prosp DY % > 1
Cashflow/EPS > 1
- Now you should have a table of values looking similar
to the one above. Next, you must click on the ‘Calc
Pass’ button - one of the options at the bottom of
the dialog box in which you have been typing values. On
pressing it, the fifth column of the table, entitled ‘Pass,’
will gradually show numbers in descending order, corresponding
to the number of companies listed against the cumulative
criteria.
- Press the ‘save’ button, also situated along
the bottom of the dialog box in which you have just created
your table.
- If you now close the dialog box by clicking on the ‘x’
in top right hand corner of this dialog box that you have
been creating your table in, you can see behind it the list
of companies that represent the result of your search.
- Next, click on the first icon on tool bar at top of screen,
situated below the ‘file’ button. (If you hover
the cursor over the right box containing the icon, the words
‘Show REFS Page’ come up on the screen). This
will take you to the REFS page on that company.
What This Search Can Show
By way of example, running this search again on the 4th
March 2005 produced just two companies: engineering group Widney and credit
finance provider Hitachi Capital.
Widney was recommended in Investing for Growth (the sister
publication to Company REFS) in June 2004 at 58 pence and by the date of the
search on 4th March had risen by 94.8% to 113 pence. Despite the rise, according
to the ‘Zulu Principle’ methodology, it still appeared to be inexpensive
in relation to its future earnings growth on a PEG of 0.21, prospective EPS
growth rate of 45.1% and single digit PER of 9.26.
|